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Applicability Evaluation of Multi-time-scales Meteorological Drought Indexes in Typical Steppe of Inner Mongolia
WU Rongsheng, HOU Qiong, YANG Yuhui, FENG Xuyu, LI Bin, ZHENG Fengjie
Journal of Arid Meteorology
2021, 39 (2):
177-184.
DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2021)-02-0177
Based on soil moisture and meteorological elements data at four pasture observation stations in typical steppe of Inner Mongolia from 1981 to 2015, the correlations between multi-time-scales meteorological drought indexes and soil relative moisture at different depths in spring, summer and autumn were comparatively analyzed, and the applicability of these drought indexes to drought monitoring was explored in typical steppe of Inner Mongolia. And on this basis, the prediction models of soil relative moisture at different depths were built by using multiple linear regression method in different seasons. The results show that the soil relative moisture at 0-20 cm depth in three seasons was affected by atmospheric water balance in the past two months, while the timescales influencing soil relative moisture at 0-50 cm and 0-100 cm depths were different in typical steppe of Inner Mongolia. In spring, the soil relative moistures at 0-50 cm and 0-100 cm depths were significantly regulated by previous annual precipitation. In summer, the soil relative moisture at 0-50 cm depth was closely related to atmospheric moisture balance in the past two months, while the soil drought at 0-100 cm depth was mainly controlled by precipitation deficit in the past 2-6 months. In autumn, the soil relative moisture at 0-50 cm depth was significantly influenced by previous precipitation for 3-6 months, while that at 0-100 cm depth was closely correlated with the balance between precipitation and evapotranspiration in the past three months, and the influence of meteorological droughts in the past six months and above was obvious. CI, MCI and PDSI had higher correlation with soil relative moisture at different depths than other meteorological drought indices in different seasons due to taking into account the comprehensive effects of long-term and short-term atmospheric water deficit. The established prediction models of soil relative moisture based on previous meteorological drought indexes could better capture the change of soil moisture in typical steppe, and they could support the drought monitoring and predication of pasture to some extent.
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